Under And Out

Under And Out

If you read my article before Christmas, you will aware that I offered up a raft of Under 2.5 goal recommendations for no other reason than because I was in the Christmas mood and although we are in 2020, there’s no reason not to hand you another raft.

Personally, I’m not a huge fan of the Under 2.5 goal bet, if only because there is nothing worse than willing a team not to score. However, I do know that a lot of people out there, like to test the mettle against misfiring attack lines.

With that in mind, I have looked at the probabilty stats (based on previous performances this season) and here is this weekend’s list of recommend games that have a much higher chance of finishing with Under 2.5 goals at full time.


Colour Key:

Green – The Best Chance Of Under 2.5
Orange – A Good Chance Of Under 2.5
Red – Still Worth Putting On Your Slip But Look Down The List First
% – The Probability Of The Game Finishing Over 2.5 Goals (flip over to the inverse and we have the ideal Under 2.5 fodder)

Under And Out

Of course, I would not necessarily advocate betting on all 14 at once, to be honest you may as well just give all your money over to the bookmakers straight away. However, there is certainly enough meat on the bones in order to pick out a decent accumulator.

Actually I’ll go one step better and suggest one for starters

Shrewsbury vs Lincoln
Cheltenham vs Walsall
Scunthorpe vs Newport
Stevenage vs Port Vale

This four fold is a decent 7/1. – This is not a ‘tip’, it’s just what I would bet on if I was using the informed guide above. You are more than welcome to follow it, or use your own. Primarily though I would be picking anything out of the green section, for your own acca.

Depending on when you read this, the Premier League game between Sheffield United and West Ham may have already finished, although the London derby at Selhurst Park on Saturday lunchtime is also worth your consideration.

For me, this is an absolute free hit, I’m not working on a success rates or money – I am literally providing you with what my model ‘EngBot’ has spat out this weekend, so if you are looking at a few tips in this particular market, then get stuck in.

While as always, if you do use any of these tips and are successful, then please send in your betting slips and I will add them to the winners enclosure. Now we just need to sit back and hope that the goals do not go in.

Happy punting and thanks for reading. Dan

If this has grabbed your interest and you would like to discuss/feedback then please feel free to drop me a message at dan@realfootballman.com. While I am always looking for new football/data projects to work on and if you feel that my skills would be of use, I can be contacted at the same address.

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You can also check out my Premier League Podcast on Soundcloud

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