The European List
The European List
In my previous article I served up a rather hefty list of probability data and it was one that that covered all five English leagues. However, in the pursuit of data driven betting excellence, the information does not stop there.
That’s because, I also have a bundle of red hot European goal data to sift through and it is something that looks a little like this – 39 matches across the other of Europe’s ‘Big Five’ (apologies if the Friday night kickoffs are also in there) leagues
FILL YOUR BOOTS ONCE AGAIN
| League | Home | Away | Over 2.5 | Over 2.5 Prediction |
| Bundesliga | Werder Bremen | Dortmund | 84.09% | Over 2.5 |
| Serie A | Atalanta | Sassuolo | 79.17% | Over 2.5 |
| Bundesliga | Bayern Munich | Paderborn | 75.00% | Over 2.5 |
| Serie A | Genoa | Lazio | 70.83% | Over 2.5 |
| Bundesliga | Hertha | FC Koln | 69.70% | Over 2.5 |
| Bundesliga | M’gladbach | Hoffenheim | 67.42% | Over 2.5 |
| Bundesliga | Schalke 04 | RB Leipzig | 65.91% | Over 2.5 |
| Bundesliga | Leverkusen | Augsburg | 65.91% | Over 2.5 |
| Serie A | Roma | Lecce | 64.58% | Over 2.5 |
| Bundesliga | Ein Frankfurt | Union Berlin | 61.36% | Over 2.5 |
| Bundesliga | Wolfsburg | Mainz | 61.36% | Over 2.5 |
| Bundesliga | Freiburg | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 61.36% | Over 2.5 |
| Serie A | Spal | Juventus | 60.42% | Over 2.5 |
| La Liga | Barcelona | Eibar | 59.33% | Over 2.5 |
| Serie A | Inter | Sampdoria | 58.33% | Over 2.5 |
| Ligue 1 | Dijon | Monaco | 58.00% | Over 2.5 |
| La Liga | Sociedad | Valencia | 57.70% | Over 2.5 |
| Serie A | Bologna | Udinese | 56.25% | Over 2.5 |
| Serie A | Brescia | Napoli | 56.25% | Over 2.5 |
| La Liga | Levante | Real Madrid | 56.25% | Over 2.5 |
| Ligue 1 | Paris SG | Bordeaux | 56.00% | Over 2.5 |
| La Liga | Betis | Mallorca | 54.17% | Over 2.5 |
| Ligue 1 | Nice | Brest | 54.00% | Over 2.5 |
| Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | Amiens | 54.00% | Over 2.5 |
| Serie A | Torino | Parma | 52.08% | Over 2.5 |
| Ligue 1 | Lille | Toulouse | 50.00% | Over 2.5 |
| Serie A | Fiorentina | Milan | 47.92% | Under 2.5 |
| La Liga | Ath Madrid | Villarreal | 47.92% | Under 2.5 |
| Serie A | Verona | Cagliari | 45.83% | Under 2.5 |
| Ligue 1 | Metz | Lyon | 44.00% | Under 2.5 |
| Ligue 1 | Angers | Montpellier | 44.00% | Under 2.5 |
| Ligue 1 | Rennes | Nimes | 42.00% | Under 2.5 |
| La Liga | Osasuna | Granada | 41.67% | Under 2.5 |
| La Liga | Celta | Leganes | 39.58% | Under 2.5 |
| Ligue 1 | Marseille | Nantes | 38.00% | Under 2.5 |
| La Liga | Valladolid | Espanol | 37.50% | Under 2.5 |
| Ligue 1 | St Etienne | Reims | 36.00% | Under 2.5 |
| La Liga | Getafe | Sevilla | 35.42% | Under 2.5 |
| La Liga | Alaves | Ath Bilbao | 31.25% | Under 2.5 |
There is plenty for you to pick the bones out of and as before the higher up the list, back Over 2.5 goals and the lower down the list back Under. While anything in the 45-55% range, I would steer clear off as it is too close to call.
Happy punting and thanks for reading. Dan
If this has grabbed your interest and you would like to discuss/feedback then please feel free to drop me a message at dan@realfootballman.com. While I am always looking for new football/data projects to work on and if you feel that my skills would be of use, I can be contacted at the same address.
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