Sub Prime Market

Sub Prime Market

Sub Prime Market

If you read one of my previous batch of articles, you will know that I have stepped back from the clutches of Goliath and moved back to the familiar data driven betting territory of a standard accumulator, one that you can read more about in the link a couple of lines above.

However, with more numbers being crunched and more games being analysed, it means that there is a lot more data to hand. This means, that there are more weekend clashes that fall in the ‘recommended threshold’ and although these aren’t the hottest tips, they aren’t the worst either.

Therefore in this list, I present to you what I would call the ‘Sub Prime Market’ – some still decent shouts, if you want to add even more fat to your accumulator but perhaps not straight off of the grill as it were. With that said, there’s no harm in having a look below now is there.

Sub Prime Market

Another eight games us for grabs here and that means that in total, thirteen. cleared the necessary threshold in terms of Over 2.5 goal probabaility this weekend and just for a bit of fun, let’s see what this would look like in an eight-fold accumulator

AGAINST THE ODDS

If you backed all eight games, they would return odds of 141/1 – that in itself is a little bit eye-watering, although what is interesting is the fact that there is a little bit of ‘against the grain’ with some of these matches.

That’s because the EFL Championship games between Stoke vs Millwall and Wigan vs Bristol City are both Evens or above (29/10 and Evens respectively), so it might be worth adding those two to a bet, if you want to see if probability can outfox the bookmakers.

That’s about it for this article, I’m not necessarily going to track winners or losers in this one as this is just an additional list of data that I have and to be honest, there is no point it going to waste. Feel free to use it if you wish.

Happy punting and thanks for reading. Dan

If this has grabbed your interest and you would like to discuss/feedback then please feel free to drop me a message at dan@realfootballman.com. While I am always looking for new football/data projects to work on and if you feel that my skills would be of use, I can be contacted at the same address.

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You can also check out my Premier League Podcast on Soundcloud


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