Building More Momentum

Building More Momentum

Building More Momentum

If you read one of my earlier articles, you will be aware that I once again attempted data driven betting perfection and it came courtesy of trying to get the better of the English Premier League and the Over/Under 2.5 goal markets.

However, after an impressive showing last time out, there is no time to rest on my laurels and especially as I am heading off to Germany in a few hours to sample a bit of high class Bundesliga action.

Which also means, I’ve not had time to draw up a neat little coloured chart this weekend. But fear not, all the data can be found in this neat table with the status of what should be backed or whether you should steer clear.


League Home Away Over 2.5 Over 2.5 Prediction
Premier League Leicester Aston Villa 65.54% Over 2.5
Premier League Liverpool Bournemouth 64.29% Over 2.5
Premier League Burnley Tottenham 62.50% Over 2.5
Premier League Man United Man City 56.68% Over 2.5
Premier League Chelsea Everton 55.36% Over 2.5
Premier League Arsenal West Ham 54.56% Ignore
Premier League Southampton Newcastle 53.57% Ignore
Premier League Wolves Brighton 44.64% Under 2.5
Premier League Crystal Palace Watford 39.29% Under 2.5
Premier League Sheffield United Norwich 36.11% Under 2.5

There are eight games for your consideration this weekend, with advice to steer clear of both the Emirates and St Mary’s. Although with those two removed, there are plenty of options for you to digest.


After ‘GoalBot’ returned six out seven data driven football predictions last week, that would be a very handy number to return this time around. Although of course, all eight would be great, I would need six to maintain my current percentage success rate.

One that after 74 recommended bets has returned 51 correct outcomes and this means that ‘GoalBot’ is currently on a success rate of 68.9% – which means anything more than six and the percentage will go up, anything less and it will go down.

The only game I feel a bit uncertain on is Wolves vs Brighton, I think that personally leans more towards Over 2.5 goals, but it is not my place to argue with the data and especially as it has done me well over the past few months.

All there is to do now, is to sit back and wait for the results to come in, although I will have to do this via my phone as I tuck into my Bratwurst. Bring on Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt and hopefully lots of lovely goals both there and back home.

Happy punting and thanks for reading. Dan

If this has grabbed your interest and you would like to discuss/feedback then please feel free to drop me a message at [email protected]. While I am always looking for new football/data projects to work on and if you feel that my skills would be of use, I can be contacted at the same address.

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You can also check out my Premier League Podcast on Soundcloud

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