Building More Momentum
Building More Momentum
If you read one of my earlier articles, you will be aware that I once again attempted data driven betting perfection and it came courtesy of trying to get the better of the English Premier League and the Over/Under 2.5 goal markets.
However, after an impressive showing last time out, there is no time to rest on my laurels and especially as I am heading off to Germany in a few hours to sample a bit of high class Bundesliga action.
Which also means, I’ve not had time to draw up a neat little coloured chart this weekend. But fear not, all the data can be found in this neat table with the status of what should be backed or whether you should steer clear.
WHAT DOES IT LOOK LIKE?
| League | Home | Away | Over 2.5 | Over 2.5 Prediction |
| Premier League | Leicester | Aston Villa | 65.54% | Over 2.5 |
| Premier League | Liverpool | Bournemouth | 64.29% | Over 2.5 |
| Premier League | Burnley | Tottenham | 62.50% | Over 2.5 |
| Premier League | Man United | Man City | 56.68% | Over 2.5 |
| Premier League | Chelsea | Everton | 55.36% | Over 2.5 |
| Premier League | Arsenal | West Ham | 54.56% | Ignore |
| Premier League | Southampton | Newcastle | 53.57% | Ignore |
| Premier League | Wolves | Brighton | 44.64% | Under 2.5 |
| Premier League | Crystal Palace | Watford | 39.29% | Under 2.5 |
| Premier League | Sheffield United | Norwich | 36.11% | Under 2.5 |
There are eight games for your consideration this weekend, with advice to steer clear of both the Emirates and St Mary’s. Although with those two removed, there are plenty of options for you to digest.
SIX IS THE MAGIC NUMBER
After ‘GoalBot’ returned six out seven data driven football predictions last week, that would be a very handy number to return this time around. Although of course, all eight would be great, I would need six to maintain my current percentage success rate.
One that after 74 recommended bets has returned 51 correct outcomes and this means that ‘GoalBot’ is currently on a success rate of 68.9% – which means anything more than six and the percentage will go up, anything less and it will go down.
The only game I feel a bit uncertain on is Wolves vs Brighton, I think that personally leans more towards Over 2.5 goals, but it is not my place to argue with the data and especially as it has done me well over the past few months.
All there is to do now, is to sit back and wait for the results to come in, although I will have to do this via my phone as I tuck into my Bratwurst. Bring on Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt and hopefully lots of lovely goals both there and back home.
If this has grabbed your interest and you would like to discuss/feedback then please feel free to drop me a message at [email protected]. While I am always looking for new football/data projects to work on and if you feel that my skills would be of use, I can be contacted at the same address.
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You can also check out my Premier League Podcast on Soundcloud