A National Level

A National Level

A National Level

If you read one of last weekend’s articles you will know that I once again served up a batch of data driven matches that had the highest probability of finishing with Over 2.5 goals and although I only took a chance on a five-fold, only three of those came in.

That suggests it was not a total shambles, but in the world of accumulators three out of five is simply not good enough. However, undeterred by an average showing last weekend, it is time to serve up another hot eight matches out of the Over oven.


A National Level

Now with these eight games above, there are a couple of questions that spring to mind and one’s that I will do my best to answer below.

What size accumulator shall we plump for this weekend? I’ve tried all eight in a straight acca and all eight in a Super Goliath and the latter did not do enough to come good, even with multiple levels of insurance.

As mentioned above, a five-fold was also attempted last weekend but to no avail, therefore I’m going to tighten things up even further and that means this weekend I personally am going to take a four-fold with those matches being:

Barrow vs Bromley
Flyde vs Torquay
AFC Wimbledon vs Peterborough
Burnley vs Leicester

As you can see above, the list is quite National League heavy (which is not necessarily a bad thing, but that is a slight red flag, in that we are asking five games in that division to all finish Over 2.5 goals – then again that in itself could make a perfect sub-accumulator)

Then again perhaps we have to take into account that defenders at National League level are not as good and maybe it is a diviison that lends itself to lots of lovely goals. At the end of the day, just because it is a lower level does not mean it is no good to use.

The data has been collated in the same way and therefore the recommendation is just as good as any other, perhaps it is just one of those weeks where the fixtures have fallen favourably for the National League.

To be honest, there’s not a great deal of further analysis that can be carried out at this point, as all we can do is now wait for the respective kick offs and wait for a bundle of goals to go in up and down the country.

As always please feel free to use any combination of the above and more importantly if you are fortunate enough to pick a winner or two, then send in your betting slips and I will add them to the winners enclosure (the old photos are in danger of gathering dust at this rate!)

Happy punting and thanks for reading. Dan

If this has grabbed your interest and you would like to discuss/feedback then please feel free to drop me a message at [email protected]. While I am always looking for new football/data projects to work on and if you feel that my skills would be of use, I can be contacted at the same address.

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