The European List

The European List

The European List

In my previous article I served up a rather hefty list of probability data and it was one that that covered all five English leagues. However, in the pursuit of data driven betting excellence, the information does not stop there.

That’s because, I also have a bundle of red hot European goal data to sift through and it is something that looks a little like this – 39 matches across the other of Europe’s ‘Big Five’ (apologies if the Friday night kickoffs are also in there) leagues


League Home Away Over 2.5 Over 2.5 Prediction
Bundesliga Werder Bremen Dortmund 84.09% Over 2.5
Serie A Atalanta Sassuolo 79.17% Over 2.5
Bundesliga Bayern Munich Paderborn 75.00% Over 2.5
Serie A Genoa Lazio 70.83% Over 2.5
Bundesliga Hertha FC Koln 69.70% Over 2.5
Bundesliga M’gladbach Hoffenheim 67.42% Over 2.5
Bundesliga Schalke 04 RB Leipzig 65.91% Over 2.5
Bundesliga Leverkusen Augsburg 65.91% Over 2.5
Serie A Roma Lecce 64.58% Over 2.5
Bundesliga Ein Frankfurt Union Berlin 61.36% Over 2.5
Bundesliga Wolfsburg Mainz 61.36% Over 2.5
Bundesliga Freiburg Fortuna Dusseldorf 61.36% Over 2.5
Serie A Spal Juventus 60.42% Over 2.5
La Liga Barcelona Eibar 59.33% Over 2.5
Serie A Inter Sampdoria 58.33% Over 2.5
Ligue 1 Dijon Monaco 58.00% Over 2.5
La Liga Sociedad Valencia 57.70% Over 2.5
Serie A Bologna Udinese 56.25% Over 2.5
Serie A Brescia Napoli 56.25% Over 2.5
La Liga Levante Real Madrid 56.25% Over 2.5
Ligue 1 Paris SG Bordeaux 56.00% Over 2.5
La Liga Betis Mallorca 54.17% Over 2.5
Ligue 1 Nice Brest 54.00% Over 2.5
Ligue 1 Strasbourg Amiens 54.00% Over 2.5
Serie A Torino Parma 52.08% Over 2.5
Ligue 1 Lille Toulouse 50.00% Over 2.5
Serie A Fiorentina Milan 47.92% Under 2.5
La Liga Ath Madrid Villarreal 47.92% Under 2.5
Serie A Verona Cagliari 45.83% Under 2.5
Ligue 1 Metz Lyon 44.00% Under 2.5
Ligue 1 Angers Montpellier 44.00% Under 2.5
Ligue 1 Rennes Nimes 42.00% Under 2.5
La Liga Osasuna Granada 41.67% Under 2.5
La Liga Celta Leganes 39.58% Under 2.5
Ligue 1 Marseille Nantes 38.00% Under 2.5
La Liga Valladolid Espanol 37.50% Under 2.5
Ligue 1 St Etienne Reims 36.00% Under 2.5
La Liga Getafe Sevilla 35.42% Under 2.5
La Liga Alaves Ath Bilbao 31.25% Under 2.5

There is plenty for you to pick the bones out of and as before the higher up the list, back Over 2.5 goals and the lower down the list back Under. While anything in the 45-55% range, I would steer clear off as it is too close to call.

Happy punting and thanks for reading. Dan

If this has grabbed your interest and you would like to discuss/feedback then please feel free to drop me a message at While I am always looking for new football/data projects to work on and if you feel that my skills would be of use, I can be contacted at the same address.

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