The Delayed Preview

The Delayed Preview

In this article we are going back in time and although the previous article would have set the stall after week six of the Premier League season, we are running really behind in our pursuit of data driven betting excellence.

Which means, this may have to be the quickest article ever, if only to do the housekeeping that should have been done before – which in itself is quite ironic, as I have just moved myself and this will explain the delay.

COME ON, GET ON WITH IT

To recap, very quickly here is how the league table looks when looking at the predictions that myself, Social Media and the bookmakers have made thus far:

Gut Instinct – 51.7% correct (30/58)
Social Media – 51.7% correct (30/58)
Bookmakers – 46.5% correct (27/58)

As you can see the “mug punter” is currently locking down the first two places (well joint) and this means we have a slight advantage over the bookmakers in more ways than one.

First, we are three football predictions better off, but secondly the bookmakers will always opt for some form of win and this ultimately puts them at something of a disadvantage (unless they started making the draw the favourites)

This means, that if we were not on top, we would be performing really badly and to try and fare even better, it is time to see firstly what I served up over the course of the weekend (full disclosure these are my genuine picks)

Wolves
Manchester City
Chelsea
Liverpool
Aston Villa/Southampton Draw
Everton
Arsenal
Tottenham
Fulham
Leeds/Leicester Draw

While here is what Social Media opted for instead:

Wolves
Manchester City
Chelsea
Liverpool
Aston Villa/Southampton Draw
Everton
Manchester United/Arsenal Draw
Tottenham
Fulham/West Brom Draw
Leeds

As things stand I am on 6 out of 8, with a maximum 8 out of 10, while Social Media is on 5 out of 8 with a maximum 7 out of 10. Who will eventually come out on top and how will the bookmakers fare, find out tomorrow.

Happy punting and thanks for reading.

(THESE ARE NOT TIPS PER SE, THESE ARE JUST DATA DRIVEN FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS IN A PURE TEST AND LEARN MODELLING CAPACITY)