Drawing A Model
Drawing A Model
If you came across my previous article on the Russian Premier League you will be fully aware that last week, I returned to profit. However it must be said that it was courtesy of rather unorthodox circumstances.
With ‘StatBot’ only returning three correct picks from the eight that he predicted, you would have to say that the week itself was not an overqualified success. Although, if we were to look at this purely from a financial stand point, it was another week where more money came in after going out.
Which means that from the first four weeks of operation, three of those have seen a profit and now we will look to a further run of success, with the latest round of ‘StatBot’ predictions, predictions that look as follows:
Now of course, I can only go from what I’m told to bet on and I wouldn’t dream of doing otherwise. With said, there is always a red flag or two (and I’m not talking about the old Soviet Union) and this week, it’s the fact that no fewer than five draws have been selected.
Something that is either going to lead to rack or ruin come the end of the fixture schedule on Monday evening. Because if there aren’t that many draws or the draws land in different games, this could lead to a wipe out.
Then again, if I can select the draws correctly and it doesn’t necessarily have to be all five for that matter, it will quite easily boost my winnings and give me a much better chance of returning another profit.
WHY IS THIS THE CASE?
The reason for this, is that all the drawn predictions are at odds of over 2.0 (or evens for you fans of decimals) and this means that should any of that quintet of matches end up all square, they will return more than a whole unit in profit.
Which in itself is a short cut to making more money and not only that it might provide more of an edge against bookmakers, something that we are ultimately trying to find each week. Admittedly it is a risky strategy, but it is one that is symbolic of risk =/= reward.
Not only that, but we should not forget that if matches do go to form, then there is no reason why that cannot boost the coffers either and therefore if the likes of Lokomotic Moscow and Zenit St.Petersburg get over the line, that will also do me a huge favour.
In addition to all of this, I’ve made another small tweak in the sorting of the away team and how exactly it was looking at the order of matches played – last week it was looking at the last recent to most and now it is the other way round, something that should also assist me going forward.
However, after turning a profit last week, I don’t feel there’s much need to tear things up and although the draw factor is quite high, as long as we don’t have a repeat of a fortnight ago (when there were no draws at all) then we should be able to at least return something for our efforts.
Not only that but I now have a fully operational results and developer notes sub-page on the website, so you can keep abreast of the success rates and fundamental changes that will be made throughout the project.
Happy punting and thanks for reading. Dan
If this has grabbed your interest and you would like to discuss/feedback then please feel free to drop me a message at [email protected]. While I am always looking for new football/data projects to work on and if you feel that my skills would be of use, I can be contacted at the same address.
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