Corner Betting System
Corner Betting System
When it comes to football betting, one market has increased in popularity as of late and with a multitude of statistics now available from resources such as this: – https://footystats.org/stats/corner-stats, it has never been easier to place a wager on the number of corners in a game.
Unlike a standard 1X2 bet, where you are predicting the final outcome via data driven football predictions and in most cases banking on one club to do a job for you (unless you have backed a draw), corner betting is often a much more collaborative effort between the two teams involved.
While because of this, it is also viewed as one of the more data driven markets that are currently available and therefore, it pays to not only do your research but also get a greater understanding of the insights that are on offer.
Where To Start:
The first thing to consider, is the fact that the range of corners within a game is going to be greater than goals scored and although more opportunities may seem a good thing on face value, that is not necessarily the case.
Just because there are more options within the corner market, does not mean you should be betting on all of them and with an insight such as the one below, you can begin to target where exactly your money should be placed.
After carrying out extensive analysis of nearly 300,000 individual matches, the most reoccurring corner totals in the sample were 8, 9 and 10 and now that you are armed with this information, this is the range in which you should be working within.
Which means, the three betting markets that will be of most use to you are 8.5, 9.5 and 10.5 total corners. Anything past this insightful trio and the ability to claim a winner will have diminished considerably.
Of course, just because you have opted for one of these three, does not guarantee success at the same time and to give you an even greater chance of beating the bookies, it pays to carry out even further research.
The Corner Kings:
Like any Over/Under goals bet, it is not necessarily a case of one team having to do all the hard graft. Instead, it will most likely require both outfits contributing their fair share of corners and if each of them pull their weight, a favourable outcome should not be all that far away.
The first thing to look for, are teams that are confident in attack and always looking to create more opportunities going forward. If this is usually the case, it means a substantial contribution to the necessary corner count will most likely be made.
In addition to this, look for defences that are susceptible to attacks throughout, as they will also be of great use to you and the more often they invite the opposition towards them, the greater chance of subsequently conceding a corner.
With that in mind, there are certain fixtures you should avoid, and these involve teams that are often found in mid-table. Usually they either fail excite in attack or have a solid but not spectacular defence and because of this, the two entities usually cancel each other out.
Therefore, any fixture which pairs a team at the top of the table against one at the lower reaches, is considered an optimum pairing and one, that will provide a greater opportunity of reaching the required corner threshold.
Another point to consider, is how often a particular team has cleared the necessary corner threshold and like all data driven systems, waiting at least six weeks or so into any season is always recommended – if only to get an idea of form and previous corner counts.
If you look at clubs that have a sizeable sample of previous corner data, you can quickly get an idea of who to back and this image, will give an example of what to look out for:
If we take the Over 9.5 corner market as the mid-range between the three optimum numbers, you can see that the ten clubs involve possess a 100% record in terms of matches that have finished with more than 10 corners.
On the face of it, this means we can dive straight into backing any of these clubs (and their opposition) to earn at least 10 corners come full time. However, another element of due diligence is required.
Going back to the point of waiting for six weeks into the season, we need to check if any of the clubs involved have played a suitable amount of fixtures and on closer inspection, Fylkir for example, have already played nine games this season (at the time of writing) and clear this necessary hurdle.
Of course, you must always remember that previous performance is not a direct indicator of future showings but looking at the sample of data above, the Icelandic club look well placed to repeat their impressive corner count once again.
One Off Encounters:
Over the duration of any league campaign, statistical trends will start to appear, and this will give you the ability to make smarter betting decisions – something that should aid you in the pursuit of overall profit
Unfortunately, this is rarely the case within one-off meeting or cup competitions, as the sample data is much smaller and because of this, you will need to tread rather carefully in terms of placing a corner bet.
Take this Champions League Quarter-final clash between RB Leipzig and Atletico Madrid for example:
With such a limited amount of competition data behind both clubs and the fact that they are playing on a neutral venue, it makes it incredibly difficult to call in terms of corner count and even more so when the bookmakers hedge their bets at the same time.
The fact that Over/Under 9.5 has been reduced to a literal toss of a coin in terms of odds, is something of a red flag and although risk always does equal reward, a bet of this kind goes against all the advice that you would have read previously.
Which means although it is a tie that is full of glitz and glamour, the background knowledge is too thin on the ground to make a shrewd decision and therefore, corner bets of this kind are not recommended.
Tactics Play Their Part:
One aspect that is important for any element of corner betting, is how a team favours its attacks and with that, are they known to be more direct through the middle or do they prefer to land crosses into the box.
If it is the former, it will not help your corner count, as the ball will most likely be contained throughout the central area of the pitch, while if it is the latter this will only aid your bet even further.
Teams that prefer to operate with wingers or inside forwards, will look to cause headaches for the full-backs that they are paired up against and a usual by-product of this, is at best a goal for the attacking team or at worst a corner.
Therefore, taking the time to research playing styles will also aid you, as the last thing you want is to bet on two teams that prefer a long-ball style of play and compete in something more akin to head tennis rather than the beautiful game.
Also, if you know that a team prefers to utilise wide attackers and more importantly is also at home (as home teams usually earn more corners than those playing away), this will be a huge boost to your corner count requirements and will make the necessary target a lot easier to reach.
Things To Consider:
Betting on corners is one of the more fluid markets that are currently available and although being armed with pre-match data provides a huge boost, there is no better indicator of success than watching the game itself.
With that in mind, what you want to avoid is one team clearing off into the distance and wrapping up a win before half-time, as more often than not, they will take their foot off the gas and ease their hunt for goals.
Should that prove to be the case, less desire or need to attack, will usually mean fewer corners and with that in mind, if a fixture becomes a blowout and the overall count is nowhere near your required number, do not be afraid to cash out.
The ideal scenario in terms of in-game fluidity, is a fixture that has a relative element of jeopardy attached to it – the home team searching for a late winner or the away team clinging on and inviting more attacks, is the perfect example of what you should be looking for.
Quite simply, you cannot just look at the stats before and conclude that something will definitely happen because the data says so, you must also be prepared to read and more importantly, understand the flow of the game itself.
The most important thing to remember when betting on this market, is that more individual actions are required in order to get over the line and although you are asking a lot more than say an Over/Under goal bet, corners are somewhat easier to come across.
Also it is not a market that is purely driven by form guides, as ultimately corners do not necessarily dictate who will go on to win or lose a game, they are simply a measure of how much attacking has taken place throughout.
Like any betting system, the amount of profit you return will depend on how aggressive your strategy will be, and now you know that 8.5 through to 10.5 corners is your ideal range, this should provide parameters for where to place your stake.
If you want a low risk method, then always backing Over 8.5 (even if the data points to a far higher final figure) is a recommended strategy, as it will have the best chance of getting over the line in the same way that Over 0.5 total goals will.
While if you want to step things up a notch, Over 9.5 or 10.5 become your targets, although more corners does not necessarily always mean longer odds, as the bookmakers may consider 9.5 to be the sweet spot and both 8.5 and 10.5 to be the outer edges in terms of pre-match price.
Don’t forget, you can always look at this bet from the other point of view and aim for Under instead. But anytime you place a ceiling on a market such as this, you fall into the trap of wanting less things to happen.
Therefore, it is always better to look at it from the stance of backing Over x.5 and aim for a certain number of corners, rather than hoping that the two teams involved decide that they no longer need to surge forward.
Whichever you decide, you should now be armed with enough insight and the ability to analyse the multitude of corner stats that are available. Remember that you research will always pay off in the end and of course, best of luck!